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Arizona
Department of Economic Security
Severe
Payment error rate
10.80%
Data year
FY2025
FY2028 penalty exposure
$300M+
H.R.1 enrollment cut
53.9%
Legacy IT age
45 yrs

Source: USDA FNS FY2025

30-minute call agenda
  1. 01Where Arizona stands: 10.80% error rate (USDA FNS FY2025), #4 of 9 priority states.
  2. 02The gap: 4.80 points above the 6% H.R.1 threshold — which error categories drive it.
  3. 03Exposure: estimated $300M+ — confirm the model with DES's own spending data.
  4. 04Systems: 45 yrs legacy eligibility stack — integration without replacement.
  5. 05Next step: scope a 90-day, zero-upfront-cost pilot in one Arizona county.

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